04 May 2020 – Southern District Health Board releases worst-case scenario modelling

Type of Intervention: Other Announcement
Sectors Involved: Health
Level of Jurisdiction: Regional (Southern DHB)
Lead People/Agency: Southern DHB

Overview: Southern DHB releases worst-case scenario modelling. Intensive care units at hospitals would have been overwhelmed before the end of this month if the worst-case scenario for COVID-19 had played out, according tot new modelling figures released by the Southern District Health Board. The figures, in a report to tomorrow’s Southern DHB meeting, were from modelling done on 6 April. In the worst-case scenario, they showed by 27 June, the region’s hospitals would also have been full.
Full details here: https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/national/415739/covid-19-southern-dhb-releases-worst-case-scenario-modelling

Type of Justification: Advice of INTERNAL government advisory committee or group
Source of Evidence or Justification: National – government
Evidence/Justification: Internal modelling performed by the Southern DHB, no further details given in the article about source or methodology.